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 | | Roger M. Cooke | | Chauncey Starr Senior Fellow | |
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PROFILE |
Roger Cooke joined Resources for the Future in September 2005 as the first appointee to the Chauncey Starr Chair in Risk Analysis. His research has widely influenced risk assessment methodology, particularly in the areas of expert judgment and uncertainty analysis. He is recognized as one of the world's leading authorities on mathematical modeling of risk and uncertainty. His recent research has encompassed health risks from oil fires in Kuwait following the first Gulf War, chemical weapons disposal, nuclear risk, nitrogen oxide emissions, and microbiological risk. His current research interests include structured expert judgment methodologies and uncertainty analysis, and his work focuses on the implementation of uncertainty analysis in policy-related decisionmaking.
Prior to joining RFF, Cooke was professor of applied decision theory at the Department of Mathematics at Delft University of Technology in The Netherlands. He was on the faculty at Delft for more than 25 years and while there launched a Risk and Environmental Modeling master's program. ( Selected publications by Cooke are available for download from the Delft University of Technology website.)
Cooke has served as a consultant to the Japanese government on disposal of abandoned World War II chemical weapons in China and to the Swedish Nuclear Inspectorate on reliability of piping in nuclear power plants. He also has consulted with the Dutch National Aeronautics Laboratory, the Dutch Gasunie, the Dutch Institute for Public Health and Milieu, Sandia National Laboratories in New Mexico, the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, and the German VGB Powertech Central Databank. He recently led a project to quantify the risk impact of new merging and spacing protocols for civil aviation, and he has been named a lead author on the chapter addressing risk and uncertainty in the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
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| Featured Publications | | Uncertainty Analysis Comes to Integrated Assessment Models for Climate Change...and Conversely | | Roger M. Cooke | | Climatic Change | April 2013 | Vol. 117, Issue 3 | 467-479 | | | | Fat-Tailed Distributions: Data, Diagnostics, and Dependence | | Roger M. Cooke, Daan Nieboer, Jolanta Misiewicz | | RFF Discussion Paper 11-19-REV | September 2011 | | | | The Unholy Trinity: Fat Tails, Tail Dependence, and Micro-Correlations | | Carolyn Kousky, Roger M. Cooke | | RFF Discussion Paper 09-36-REV | November 2009 | | | | Model uncertainty in economic impacts of climate change: Bernoulli versus Lotka Volterra dynamics | | Roger M. cooke | | Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management | January 2013 | Vol. 9, Issue 1 | pp. 2-6 | | | | The Limits of Securitization: Micro-correlations, Fat Tails and Tail Dependence | | C. Kousky and R.M. Cooke | | Rethinking Risk Measurement and Reporting: Volume I | Klaus Boecker (ed) | London: Risk Books | 2011 | | | | View All Related Publications |
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OTHER PUBLICATIONS | | Inside RFF | | Molly K. Macauley, Alan J. Krupnick, Yusuke Kuwayama , Carolyn Kousky, Elisheba Beia Spiller, Roger M. Cooke, James W. Boyd, Jintao Xu, Jared Carbone, James Smith, W. Reed Walker, Michael Madowitz, Alison Sexton, Junjie Zhang | | Resources | 2012 (179) | | | | | Inside RFF | | Hilary Sigman, Molly K. Macauley, Roger A. Sedjo, Paul R. Portney, Nigel Purvis, Abigail Jones, Leonard A. Shabman, Roger M. Cooke, Althea Davies, Maureen L. Cropper | | Resources | Summer 2011 (178) | | | | | Resources Magazine | | Joseph E. Aldy, John W. Anderson, Lynann Butkiewicz, Mark A Cohen, Roger M. Cooke, Arthur G. Fraas, Madeline Gottlieb, Kristin Hayes, Carolyn Kousky, Joshua Linn, Molly K. Macauley, Richard D. Morgenstern, Daniel F. Morris, Timothy Murphy, Nigel Purvis, Leslie Richardson, Nathan Richardson, Heather L. Ross, P. Lynn Scarlett, Adam Stern, Andrew R Stevenson | | Resources | Winter/Spring 2011 (177) | | | | | Using Bayesian Belief Nets for Managing Climate Risk in Long-Lived Water Infrastructure Projects | | Roger Cooke, Carolyn Kousky | | Background paper for the World Bank | | | | | Adapting to Extreme Events: Managing Fat Tails | | Carolyn Kousky, Roger M. Cooke | | Issue Brief 10-12 | May 2010 | | | | | Climate Dependencies and Risk Management: Microcorrelations and Tail Dependence | | Roger M. Cooke, Carolyn Kousky | | Issue Brief 10-13 | May 2010 | | | | | Are Catastrophes Insurable? | | Roger M. Cooke, Carolyn Kousky | | Resources | Summer 2009 (172) | | | | | A Brief History of Quantitative Risk Assessment | | Roger M. Cooke | | Resources | Summer 2009 (172) | | | | | Resources 172 - Summer 2009 | | Phil Sharp, Roger M. Cooke, Carolyn Kousky, J. Clarence Davies, Sandra A. Hoffmann | | Resources | Summer 2009 (172) | | | | | What the Feds Can Do about Hurricanes | | Roger Cooke and Carolyn Kousky | | St. Petersburg Times | May 31, 2009 | | | | | Expert judgment study for placement ladder bowtie | | Kurowicka, D., Cooke, R.M. Goossens, L. and Ale, B.J.M. | | Safety and Reliability for Managing Risk | Taylor and Francis Group, London | ISBN 0-415-41620-56 p. 21-27 | | | | | Quantification with imperfect data from different sources | | Kurowicka, D., Cooke, R.M., Goossens, L. and Ale, B.J.M. | | Safety and Reliability for Managing Risk | Taylor and Francis Group, London | 2006 | ISBN 0-415-41620-56 p. 897-904 | | | | | Causal modeling in the aviation industry: an application for controlled flight into terrain | | Morales-Napoles, O., Hanea, A. Kurowicka, D., and Cooke, R.M. | | Safety and Reliability for Managing Risk | Taylor and Francis Group, London | 2006 | ISBN 0-415-41620-56 p. 1831-1838 | | | | | Safety assessment of ATC-wake singly runway departures | | Speijker, L.J.P., Vidal, A., Cooke R.M. | | Safety and Reliability for Managing Risk | Taylor and Francis Group, London | 2006 | ISBN 0-415-41620-56 p. 1851-1861 | | | | |
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| EVENTS | | Ice Sheets on the Move | | Wednesday, June 12, 2013 | | Invasive Species: Impacts, Challenges, and Strategies for Management | | Wednesday, March 07, 2012 | | Managing the Risk of Extreme Weather Events in a Changing Climate | | Wednesday, February 03, 2010 | | Presentations Climate Change Extreme Events | | Monday, February 01, 2010 | | View All Related Events |
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