Risk Analysis and Uncertainty
Discussions about climate change, natural disasters, and financial markets often center on risk management, highlighting the extreme losses that can occur. Research at RFF focuses on ways to quantify and reduce uncertainty, as well as detect, mitigate, and transfer the risk associated with disasters and climate change.
Publications
Working Paper — Jun 27, 2019
Market-Based Methods for Monetizing Uncertainty Reduction: A Case Study
A market-based method to quantify the societal value of Soil Moisture Active Passive mission information.
Working Paper — May 29, 2019
Human Migration in the Era of Climate Change
Human mobility is one response to climatic stress and shocks. In this synthesis article, we review the recent literature on the effects of climate change on human mobility within various disciplines.
Journal Article — May 20, 2019
Ice Sheet Contributions to Future Sea Level Rise from Structured Expert Judgment
Future sea level rise (SLR) poses serious threats to the viability of coastal communities but continues to be challenging to project using deterministic modeling approaches.
Events
Workshops & Seminars — Dec 11, 2018
The Confidence Trap and Dysfunctional Dialogues about Climate Change: ETH Zurich
Workshops & Seminars — Nov 28, 2016
Disasters, Resilience, and the "Cure" for Catastrophe
At this RFF event, Robert Muir-Wood, chief research officer of Risk Management Solutions and author of The Cure for Catastrophe: How We Can Stop Manufacturing Natural Disasters, explored the human causes of disaster and the new technologies and policy tools available to minimize their impact.
Webinar — Dec 17, 2015
Managing Risk: The Case of Wastewater Storage in Shale Gas Development
Experts discussed new research on the risks associated with storage pits versus tanks, and the choices states have made to regulate storage options.
News
Press Release — May 20, 2019
New Study, Blog on Predicting Future Sea Level Rise
RFF's Roger Cooke coauthored a new study and wrote a blog about uncertainty, sea level rise, and structured expert judgment.
Press Release — Feb 12, 2019
From Resources Radio: Understanding Climate Models, with Massimo Tavoni of EIEE
Media Highlight — Nov 21, 2017