Induced Seismicity Impacts of Unconventional Oil and Gas Development
This report provides an overview of the existing state of research on induced seismicity related to both unconventional and conventional oil and gas development in the United States.
Figures
Figure 1. Tectonic and induced earthquakes (M≥3) in Oklahoma (1979 to September 2016)
Figure 2. Chance of Damage from an Earthquake in 2016
Figure 3. Chart Comparing Cumulative M2.5+ Earthquakes and Monthly Fluid Injection in Oklahoma
Figure 4. Fault Map Colored with Conditional Probability of Fault Slip from Pore Pressure Change
Key findings
- The large majority of studies we reviewed are retrospective and concerned with establishing association with oil and gas activities for specific events or changes in the rate of seismic events regionally that have occurred.
- This literature finds that the change in the rate of seismic events in the central and eastern United States is related to oil and gas operations, namely wastewater injection.
- Only recently have studies attempted more forward-looking analyses, with two studies establishing methods to predict the probability of induced seismic events in the future.
- Three studies assess above-ground impacts of oil and gas activities, including on the Oklahoma housing market, the acceptability of earthquakes, shaking intensity.
