Date
Oct. 1, 2015
Authors
Juha V. Siikamäki, Ian Parry, and Evan Herrnstadt
Publication
Reading time
Juha Siikamäki
Chief Economist, International Union for Conservation of Nature
Ian Parry
Evan Herrnstadt
Inequality in Weather Forecasts Around the World, with Jeff Shrader
Jeff Shrader discusses the causes and consequences of disparities in weather forecast accuracy across global regions, delving into current debates around how weather data is collected and shared.
AI-Assisted Teams Outperform AI-Led Teams but Not Human-Only Teams in Assessing Research Reproducibility in Quantitative Social Science
With Large Language Models (LLMs) becoming widespread, this study tests whether artificial intelligence (AI) tools like ChatGPT could help social scientists check if published research findings can be reproduced.
Reproducibility and Robustness of Economics and Political Science Research
This article evaluates whether published findings in economics and political science can be independently replicated and remain consistent under reanalysis.
Wisdom/Madness of Crowds and Perils of Point Forecasts
This paper examines the reliability of expert forecasting methods, using simulated data to show that when samples from fat-tailed distributions are averaged, the results may not converge.
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