Date
Dec. 31, 2010
Authors
Arthur G. Fraas and Randall Lutter
Publication
Reading time
Arthur G. Fraas
Visiting Fellow
Arthur Fraas is a visiting fellow at Resources for the Future. At RFF, Fraas works on a variety of issues related to energy and the environment, including projects looking at issues and tradeoffs with energy efficiency regulations, and more.
Randall Lutter
Wisdom/Madness of Crowds and Perils of Point Forecasts
This paper examines the reliability of expert forecasting methods, using simulated data to show that when samples from fat-tailed distributions are averaged, the results may not converge.
2026 Critical Minerals Research Lab Conference
Moving Development Rights Around to Hit Land Use Goals, with Nick Bratton
Nick Bratton discusses a market-based conservation solution called transfer of development rights and how the strategy can promote land conservation while facilitating residential and commercial development.
Incorporating Air Quality Health Impacts Into the Social Cost of Carbon
This article provides a comprehensive framework for determining which air quality impacts belong in the social cost of carbon, which is an estimate that measures economic damages from each additional ton of carbon dioxide that is emitted into the atmosphe
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