Date
Dec. 31, 1996
Authors
Margaret Glavin
Publication
Reading time
Wisdom/Madness of Crowds and Perils of Point Forecasts
This paper examines the reliability of expert forecasting methods, using simulated data to show that when samples from fat-tailed distributions are averaged, the results may not converge.
2026 Critical Minerals Research Lab Conference
Moving Development Rights Around to Hit Land Use Goals, with Nick Bratton
Nick Bratton discusses a market-based conservation solution called transfer of development rights and how the strategy can promote land conservation while facilitating residential and commercial development.
Incorporating Air Quality Health Impacts Into the Social Cost of Carbon
This article provides a comprehensive framework for determining which air quality impacts belong in the social cost of carbon, which is an estimate that measures economic damages from each additional ton of carbon dioxide that is emitted into the atmosphe
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