As temperatures soar, new doubts arise about holding warming to 2 degrees C
View on The Washington Post website"Take, for instance, a study, just released as a working paper by the National Bureau of Economic Research this week. In it, Richard Newell of Duke University and two colleagues use a “harmonization” methodology to reconcile and compare future energy outlooks issued by the International Energy Agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration, ExxonMobil, BP, and others."
"'For any analyst that has been deeply immersed in energy forecasting or projections, the degree of shift that would be required in the global energy system to meet targets like 2 degrees Celsius are very different from the path that we’re currently on,' says Newell. And he says that the recent Paris climate accord, although highly significant, probably doesn’t shift the trajectory downward enough, although it does put the Earth on a path toward a faster flattening of emissions overall."
