A Probabilistic Model for the Failure Frequency of Underground Gas Pipelines

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Date

Dec. 31, 1997

Authors

Roger Cooke and Eric Jager

Publication

Journal Article

Reading time

1 minute

A model is constructed for the failure frequency of underground pipelines per kilometer year, as a function of pipe and environmental characteristics. The parameters in the model were quantified, with uncertainty, using historical data and structured expert judgment. Fifteen experts from institutes in The Netherlands, the United Kingdom, Italy, France, Germany, Belgium, Denmark, and Canada participated in the study.

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