Date
Aug. 27, 1996
Authors
Roger Cooke
Publication
Reading time
Senior Fellow Emeritus
Roger Cooke is a senior fellow emeritus at RFF. He joined RFF in September 2005 as the first appointee to the Chauncey Starr Chair in Risk Analysis.
Wisdom/Madness of Crowds and Perils of Point Forecasts
This paper examines the reliability of expert forecasting methods, using simulated data to show that when samples from fat-tailed distributions are averaged, the results may not converge.
2026 Critical Minerals Research Lab Conference
Moving Development Rights Around to Hit Land Use Goals, with Nick Bratton
Nick Bratton discusses a market-based conservation solution called transfer of development rights and how the strategy can promote land conservation while facilitating residential and commercial development.
Incorporating Air Quality Health Impacts Into the Social Cost of Carbon
This article provides a comprehensive framework for determining which air quality impacts belong in the social cost of carbon, which is an estimate that measures economic damages from each additional ton of carbon dioxide that is emitted into the atmosphe
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