Using Expert Elicitation to Link Foodborne Illness in the U.S. to Food

If/Then: Pending Deregulation of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Could Create Significant Negative Health Effects

If the US Environmental Protection Agency finalizes a rule on greenhouse gas emissions without quantifying related effects on human health, then Congress could respond by requiring this and future rules to account for human health effects.

Wisdom/Madness of Crowds and Perils of Point Forecasts

This paper examines the reliability of expert forecasting methods, using simulated data to show that when samples from fat-tailed distributions are averaged, the results may not converge.

Climate-Related Risks in the Financial Sector, with Kevin Stiroh

Kevin Stiroh discusses how the Federal Reserve and the financial sector address climate risk.

Source Attribution of Foodborne Pathogens in the Netherlands Using Structured Expert Elicitation

This article analyzes sources of human infections from major foodborne pathogens and their transmission pathways in a post-COVID-19 context.