Uncertain Remedies to Fight Uncertain Consequences: The Case of Solar Geoengineering
This working paper examines how uncertainty and anticipated learning may affect decisions around the deployment of solar geoengineering.
Solar geoengineering can cool our planet and counteract the warming caused by greenhouse gas emissions. Given current emission trajectories, solar geoengineering has the potential to save lives, reduce severe impacts on economic production, and save ecosystems and island states. Deterministic integrated assessment models tend to show major benefits from solar geoengineering, but are highly sensitive to the assumed and highly uncertain damages from solar geoengineering as well as the effectiveness of cooling the planet. We analyze how uncertainties and the anticipation of learning change the case for solar geoengineering in a world with an uncertain temperature response to carbon dioxide emissions.
Felix D. Meier
Kiel Institute for the World Economy
Christian P. Traeger
University of Oslo
Conferences — Sep 28, 2023
Solar Geoengineering Futures: Interdisciplinary Research to Inform Decisionmaking
An RFF conference exploring the big questions surrounding solar radiation modification and its potential consequences for climate change
Press Release — May 30, 2023
New Papers Explore the Intersection of Social Sciences and Solar Geoengineering
The RFF Solar Geoengineering Project published four papers as part of a funding opportunity to bolster solar geoengineering social science research.
Resources Radio — Jul 25, 2023
Including Every Voice in Solar Geoengineering, with Shuchi Talati
Shuchi Talati discusses the rationale for solar geoengineering and democratic processes that can help decide whether and how to use it.