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Expert Forecasting with and without Uncertainty Quantification and Weighting: What Do the Data Say?

An analysis of expert forecasting highlights how using expert uncertainty quantification can yield more accurate estimates.

Journal Article in International Journal of Forecasting by Roger Cooke, Deniz Marti, and Thomas Mazzuchi — July 27, 2020

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Authors

Roger M. Cooke

Chauncey Starr Senior Fellow

Deniz Marti

George Washington University

Thomas Mazzuchi

George Washington University