Risk Analysis and Uncertainty
Discussions about climate change, natural disasters, and financial markets often center on risk management, highlighting the extreme losses that can occur. Research at RFF focuses on ways to quantify and reduce uncertainty, as well as detect, mitigate, and transfer the risk associated with disasters and climate change.
Perceptions of Flood Risk and Insurance
Find out whether decisions in the floodplain reflect overoptimism.
Read more
Reducing Risk in Wind and Solar
Read about how financial hedges can reduce investment risk.
Read moreFeatured Content
- Highlights
- Publications
- Events
- News
- Resources Magazine
Testimony and Public Comments — Apr 15, 2021
Testimony to the US Senate Budget Committee on the Cost of Inaction on Climate Change
RFF Board Member Robert B Litterman testifies to the US Senate Budget Committee on climate-related market risk.
Report — Apr 13, 2021
Waiting for Clarity: How a Price on Carbon Can Inspire Investment
Uncertainty about future climate policy is likely hindering economic growth—RFF modeling finds that a modest carbon price could increase investment and bolster economic growth while reducing emissions.
Press Release — Apr 13, 2021
A Durable Carbon Price Could Aid Economic Recovery by Reducing Uncertainty
Uncertainty about future climate policy is likely hindering economic growth—new modeling finds that a modest carbon price could increase investment and bolster economic growth while reducing emissions.
Testimony and Public Comments — Apr 15, 2021
Testimony to the US Senate Budget Committee on the Cost of Inaction on Climate Change
RFF Board Member Robert B Litterman testifies to the US Senate Budget Committee on climate-related market risk.
Report — Apr 13, 2021
Waiting for Clarity: How a Price on Carbon Can Inspire Investment
Uncertainty about future climate policy is likely hindering economic growth—RFF modeling finds that a modest carbon price could increase investment and bolster economic growth while reducing emissions.
Journal Article — Jul 27, 2020
Expert Forecasting with and without Uncertainty Quantification and Weighting: What Do the Data Say?
An analysis of expert forecasting highlights how using expert uncertainty quantification can yield more accurate estimates.
RFF Live — Sep 24, 2020
Climate Insights 2020: Climate Change and the American Voter
This event was part of the global digital activations for Climate Week NYC 2020 and focused on US political dynamics, climate change, and American voters’ priorities.
Workshop/Seminar — Dec 11, 2018
The Confidence Trap and Dysfunctional Dialogues about Climate Change: ETH Zurich
Workshop/Seminar — Nov 28, 2016
Disasters, Resilience, and the "Cure" for Catastrophe
At this RFF event, Robert Muir-Wood, chief research officer of Risk Management Solutions and author of The Cure for Catastrophe: How We Can Stop Manufacturing Natural Disasters, explored the human causes of disaster and the new technologies and policy tools available to minimize their impact.
Press Release — Apr 13, 2021
A Durable Carbon Price Could Aid Economic Recovery by Reducing Uncertainty
Uncertainty about future climate policy is likely hindering economic growth—new modeling finds that a modest carbon price could increase investment and bolster economic growth while reducing emissions.
Press Release — Jan 7, 2020
New Episode of Resources Radio: "Pricing Climate Risk in the Markets, with Robert Litterman"
Robert Litterman discusses his recent research related to carbon pricing and assesses the potentially weighty costs of climate change in financial markets.
Press Release — Aug 20, 2019
New Episode of Resources Radio on the Trump Administration's Proposed Changes to the Endangered Species Act, with Ya-Wei Li
In this podcast, Ya-Wei Li discusses the Trump administration's proposed changes to the Endangered Species Act.
Common Resources — Apr 21, 2020
Three Prongs for a Prudent Climate Policy
The world’s single-minded focus on emissions mitigation has not done enough to prevent climate change, and a new strategy is in order, say the writers.
On the Issues — Jan 10, 2020
Australia’s Wildfires, Financial Risks of Climate Change, and More
Connecting this week's environmental and energy news to RFF's economic research.
Resources Radio — Jan 7, 2020
Pricing Climate Risk in the Markets, with Robert Litterman
Robert Litterman discusses his recent research related to carbon pricing and assesses the potentially weighty costs of climate change in financial markets.