Risk Analysis and Uncertainty
Discussions about climate change, natural disasters, and financial markets often center on risk management, highlighting the extreme losses that can occur. Research at RFF focuses on ways to quantify and reduce uncertainty, as well as detect, mitigate, and transfer the risk associated with disasters and climate change.
Perceptions of Flood Risk and Insurance
Find out whether decisions in the floodplain reflect overoptimism.
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Reducing Risk in Wind and Solar
Read about how financial hedges can reduce investment risk.
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Journal Article — Jul 27, 2020
Expert Forecasting with and without Uncertainty Quantification and Weighting: What Do the Data Say?
An analysis of expert forecasting highlights how using expert uncertainty quantification can yield more accurate estimates.
Common Resources — Apr 21, 2020
Three Prongs for a Prudent Climate Policy
The world’s single-minded focus on emissions mitigation has not done enough to prevent climate change, and a new strategy is in order, say the writers.
Working Paper — Apr 20, 2020
Three Prongs for Prudent Climate Policy
An evaluation of a three-pronged strategy for mitigating climate change risks that emphasizes adding adaptation and amelioration to the emission mitigation approach.
Journal Article — Jul 27, 2020
Expert Forecasting with and without Uncertainty Quantification and Weighting: What Do the Data Say?
An analysis of expert forecasting highlights how using expert uncertainty quantification can yield more accurate estimates.
Working Paper — Apr 20, 2020
Three Prongs for Prudent Climate Policy
An evaluation of a three-pronged strategy for mitigating climate change risks that emphasizes adding adaptation and amelioration to the emission mitigation approach.
Working Paper — Mar 12, 2020
Mechanisms to Reduce Emissions Uncertainty under a Carbon Tax
This paper introduces hybrid carbon tax policies that combine an initial price path with automatic tax adjustment mechanisms (TAMs) and evaluate how much these mechanisms can reduce emissions uncertainty.
Workshop/Seminar — Dec 11, 2018
The Confidence Trap and Dysfunctional Dialogues about Climate Change: ETH Zurich
Workshop/Seminar — Nov 28, 2016
Disasters, Resilience, and the "Cure" for Catastrophe
At this RFF event, Robert Muir-Wood, chief research officer of Risk Management Solutions and author of The Cure for Catastrophe: How We Can Stop Manufacturing Natural Disasters, explored the human causes of disaster and the new technologies and policy tools available to minimize their impact.
Webinar — Dec 17, 2015
Managing Risk: The Case of Wastewater Storage in Shale Gas Development
Experts discussed new research on the risks associated with storage pits versus tanks, and the choices states have made to regulate storage options.
Press Release — Jan 7, 2020
New Episode of Resources Radio: "Pricing Climate Risk in the Markets, with Robert Litterman"
Robert Litterman discusses his recent research related to carbon pricing and assesses the potentially weighty costs of climate change in financial markets.
Press Release — Aug 20, 2019
New Episode of Resources Radio on the Trump Administration's Proposed Changes to the Endangered Species Act, with Ya-Wei Li
In this podcast, Ya-Wei Li discusses the Trump administration's proposed changes to the Endangered Species Act.
Press Release — May 20, 2019
New Study, Blog on Predicting Future Sea Level Rise
RFF's Roger Cooke coauthored a new study and wrote a blog about uncertainty, sea level rise, and structured expert judgment.
Common Resources — Apr 21, 2020
Three Prongs for a Prudent Climate Policy
The world’s single-minded focus on emissions mitigation has not done enough to prevent climate change, and a new strategy is in order, say the writers.
On the Issues — Jan 10, 2020
Australia’s Wildfires, Financial Risks of Climate Change, and More
Connecting this week's environmental and energy news to RFF's economic research.
Resources Radio — Jan 7, 2020
Pricing Climate Risk in the Markets, with Robert Litterman
Robert Litterman discusses his recent research related to carbon pricing and assesses the potentially weighty costs of climate change in financial markets.